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Guest commentary by Robert Hart, Kerry Emanuel , & Lance Bosart The National Weather Service (NWS) and its parent agency, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), delivers remarkable value to the taxpayers. This efficiency can be demonstrated by its enormous return on investment.
2020 , Robson et al. In the real ocean that is not an observed quantity. Such an ocean circulation change would have devastating and irreversible impacts especially for Nordic countries, but also for other parts of the world. So what is this whiplash about? Menary et al.
In 2020, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) reduced the limit on the amount of sulfur in ships fuel oil, which then led to a reduction in sulphur dioxide and particulate matter emissions which form aerosols in the atmosphere.
Both hurricanes were exacerbated by warmer ocean surface temperatures, and are examples of “what hurricanes will look more like in the future,” according to Dr. Marc Alessi, an atmospheric scientist with the Union of Concerned Scientists. Have there been recent advances?
Previous attribution research published by my Union of Concerned Scientists colleagues have allowed us to draw causal connections between sources of heat-trapping emissions and resulting impacts, like present day increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, air temperatures, sea levels , ocean acidification , and wildfire burned area.
Unlike in years past, there is no longer any serious discrepancy between the records – which use multiple approaches for the ocean temperatures, the homogenization of the weather stations records, and interpolation. Southern Ocean trends. The least visited part of the ocean are the waters around Antarctica. Zelinka, T.A.
Ocean eddy visualization ( Karsten Schnieder ). This follows from the need to run for much longer simulation periods (centuries, as opposed to days) (a factor of ~5000 more computation), and to include more components of the climate system (the full ocean, atmospheric chemistry, aerosols, bio-geochemistry, ice sheets etc.)
As another year comes to a close, I am reflecting on the incredible progress Ocean Conservancy has made in 2023 towards a healthy, resilient ocean future. For better or worse, this is the nature of ocean conservation work—sometimes we hit roadblocks, but it’s a reminder of why this work is so critically important.
Biases in the Southern Ocean are less, similarly with sea ice extent or rainfall etc. 2020) and downweight models with ECS values outside the assessed range: AR6 Figure SPM 8a. eaaz9549, 2020. but also the models as a whole are doing better in representing key modes of variability and their teleconnections. This is good news.
Meanwhile, note that the factors listed above involve the whole Earth system: the oceans, the cryosphere, the atmosphere, the solid earth and lithosphere, and a full range of scales, from the city block and shoreline, to ice dynamics that change over kilometers, to GRD footprints, to the whole global ocean. 2020) or Sadai et al.
Still, both the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast , released on May 24, and the Colorado State University (CSU) forecast , released on April 7, predict a season with above-normal activity— for the seventh consecutive year. Can we expect more seasons like 2020 and 2021? Of course, we have questions!
The primary cause of accelerating sea level rise is human activity As people burn fossil fuels and emit heat-trapping gases like carbon dioxide, our atmosphere and our oceans warm up. As the ocean warms, it expands. That adds water to the oceans, which raises their level.
Ocean Conservancy recognized this from the very beginning when we published our ground-breaking report Stemming the Tid e. We knew the problem of ocean plastics required collective action. That is why Ocean Conservancy was thrilled to join the U.S. Thanks for signing up for Ocean Conservancy emails.
Part of the Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite’s science instrument payload sits in a clean room at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory during assembly. SWOT, which will measure ocean currents in addition to freshwater flows, will be the latest entrant into this hall of remote sensing champions.
Ocean, sunlight, and microbes. By collecting and analyzing environmental samples from the water, seafloor, and surrounding shorelines in numerous response studies, they followed the persistence and chemical transformations that occurred in the following months and years, up through 2020. Read original article ?
We can say this is relatively good news, but we also have to remember that the last three years of near-average snowpack followed a severe drought from 2020 to 2022, the driest three-year period ever recorded in California. There is nuance, since the north got 120% and the south only 84%.
The curve presented above is an update of the analysis presented in 2020 and posted here on RealClimate. It’s an interesting situation if there are different trends for all tropical cyclones on the one hand and the most intense ones on the other, or if there are trends that point in different directions over different ocean basins.
The 2020 Maine Fishermen’s Forum was the last conference I and many others attended before the pandemic shutdown. A simple statement that masks just how complicated the issues are: mixing politics, economics, livelihoods, fisheries and endangered species in the ocean body that is the Gulf of Maine. Sea levels are rising.
Think about what is involved – biological proxies from extinct species, plate tectonic movement, disappearance in subduction zones of vast amounts of ocean sediment, interpolating sparse data in space and time, degradation of samples over such vast amounts of time. All of which adds to the uncertainty.
2021) show that the trends in the EEI derived from CERES match what you get from the changes in ocean heat content. Satellite-derived trends in EEI compared to estimates from changes in ocean heat (Loeb et al., W/m 2 , while the warming from 2000 to 2020 is just a bit less than 0.5ºC, equivalent to a change in of about 2.7
By Jim Kossin, Tim Hall, Mike Mann, and Stefan Rahmstorf The 2020 Atlantic hurricane season broke a number of records , with the formation of an unprecedented 30 “named storms” (storms that reach wind-speed intensity of at least 18 m/s and are then given an official name). 2020 ), many others do not. 2021 ; Knutson et al.
Projections of (a) temperature (constrained), (b) Arctic sea ice area (raw CMIP6), (c) ocean pH (constrained), and sea level (d)to 2100, and (e) to 2300 (constrained). Since 2012, global surface temperature has warmed strongly, with the past five years (2016–2020) being the hottest five-year period between 1850 and 2020 ( high confidence ).
There are systematic differences in the Southern Ocean in recent decades between the observed and modeled SST trends. Fasullo et al, 2021) ; Are there processes missing in all these CMIP6 models that can explain the southern ocean discrepancy? Rye et al, 2020) ; Is cloud phase in some models being inappropriately tuned?
Two reports published in the US look seriously at the practicalities and responsibilities of altering the ocean to tackle the climate crisis. Two recent developments aim to clear a path for testing these controversial methods in the ocean. The ocean as a carbon sink. Photo credit: Daniel Poloha / Alamy. By Olive Heffernan.
Constrained pdfs for ECS from Sherwood et al (2020). This was recently done by Sherwood et al (2020) , and they come up with, you guessed it, 3ºC (and also a tighter uncertainty bound of 2.3 Step 5: Climate sensitivity is around 3ºC for a doubling of CO 2. to get pretty good constraints on what the number should be. ºC/(W/m 2 ).
But because land isn’t quite as dark as the surface of the ocean, it doesn’t cause as much additional heating. This is partly why the South Pole (which is covered by the Antarctic continent) isn’t warming as fast as the North Pole (which is surrounded by ocean). 2020) and boundary layers (Bintanja et al., 2659-2673, 2011.
W/m 2 over the ocean (which translates to 0.14 2024) Looked at the impact of Chinese aerosol emission decreases from 2010 to 2020 and saw increases in North Pacific ocean temperatures. They find a radiative forcing 0.2±0.11 W/m 2 globally). Though see Zeke’s comments as well. Impacts of other aerosols Wang et al.
Two decades ago, in an interview with science journalist Richard Kerr for the journal Science, I coined the term the “Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation” (AMO) to describe an internal oscillation in the climate system resulting from interactions between North Atlantic ocean currents and wind patterns.
Since there have been a number of papers already on this topic, notably Tokarska et al (2020) , which did not come to such a conclusion, it is worthwhile to investigate where Scafetta’s result comes from. 1999-2049, 2020. These choices give a fundamentally misleading result. Tokarska, M.B. Sippel, E.M. Fischer, C.J. Hersbach, B.
By now, we all know the damage single-use items can do to our ocean and the creatures that call it home. That’s why thousands of people have taken Ocean Conservancy’s pledges to reduce waste in their daily lives by skipping the straw and quitting the cutlery. Thanks for signing up for Ocean Conservancy emails.
By Anya Blaney Ocean scientist and TNC in Washington trustee Marco Hatch creates opportunities for under-resourced students to pursue higher education while revitalizing ancestral clam gardens. His connection to the ocean and marine ecology began in early life.
In 2020, the lake level hit a record high, after having hit a record low in 2013. Then in May 2020, another record, 9.51 Now, though, climate is changing rivers, lakes and oceans, forcing a renegotiation of our relationships to those bodies of water. inches, was spectacularly eclipsed in May 2018 when a record 8.21
“It’s [the albedo is] kept the same” [False – for instance here is a paper (Loeb et al, 2020) comparing the changes in albedo in models to the CERES observations]. It is still the case that variations in cloud feedbacks are the dominant source of variability of climate sensitivity in models (Zelinka et al, 2020).
This blog was written by Michele Conrad, advisor to Ocean Conservancy on achieving priority fish conservation and ecosystem goals on the West Coast. As a former state ocean policy manager, Michele represented the State of Washington on the Pacific Fishery Management Council for 15 years before starting her own consultancy.
Cyclone Mocha, which made landfall in Myanmar earlier this week, is tied for the strongest storm ever recorded in the North Indian Ocean. In 2020, the country announced a 30-year National Water Plan to address its ongoing crisis. Mocha is tied for the strongest storm ever recorded in the North Indian Ocean.
These little bits of “stuff” in ocean waters are made up of salts, fats, proteins, algae, plankton, bacteria and more. Imagine if your local barista were to froth a bit of ocean water, instead of milk, for your cappuccino. Love ocean content? In May 2020, five surfers in the Netherlands lost their lives during such conditions.
Lead author Adam Gold , a watershed researcher for the Environmental Defense Fund, said the wild uncertainty is because the court arbitrarily created a new standard for federal protection divorced from the science of how wetlands support larger streams, rivers, lakes and the ocean.
This blog post was co-written by Black Surf Santa Cruz founder Esabella Bonner and board secretary Rachel Kippen whose organization has partnered with Ocean Conservancy over the past two years. Bonner founded Black Surf Santa Cruz in 2020 to make ocean spaces more inclusive and welcoming to BILPOC community members.
The Sabin Center wrapped up Climate Week NYC last Friday with an event exploring the opportunities and challenges posed by ocean-based carbon dioxide removal (CDR). As evidenced by the 150-plus people in attendance, ocean CDR is attracting growing attention as a possible climate change mitigation option. ground rock) into the ocean?
By Lydia Larsen In 2020, an international rule went into effect that sharply reduced the amount of sulfur allowed in ship fuel. When large ships use scrubbers to meet international air pollution limits, the treated fuel exhaust gets dumped into the sea along with other contaminants.
New research implicates emissions from the 2019-2020 Australian fires in the emergence of a three-year super La Niña that fueled droughts in Africa and hurricanes in the Atlantic.
About 80 per cent of the carbon dioxide released by Australia’s huge wildfires of 2019-2020 was captured by ocean algal blooms that grew due to the iron-rich ash
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