Annual GMSAT predictions and ENSO
Real Climate
JANUARY 5, 2024
This pattern was important for recent record or near-record years like 2016 or 2020 which started with El Niño, as well as below-trend years like 2017, 2021 etc. 2017 1.06 ± 0.13 2020 1.21 ± 0.14 that started with La Niña. 2018 1.05 ± 0.14 2019 1.18 ± 0.15 2021 1.16 ± 0.14 2022 1.23 ± 0.14 2023 1.22 ± 0.14
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