2022 updates to the temperature records
Real Climate
JANUARY 13, 2023
El Niño events enhance global warming (as in 1998, 2010, 2016 etc.) For instance, the trends from 2016 to 2022 are -0.12±0.37ºC/dec Assuming something like 2016 (a +0.11ºC effect), that implies you might see the excedence some 5 years earlier – say 2027 to 2037 (depending a little on the time-series you are following).
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