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2022 updates to model-observation comparisons

Real Climate

This has now been completed for 2022. This is related to the commentary we published last year ( Hausfather et al, 2022 ), where we show that this screen is a reasonable match to the IPCC AR6 assessed projections that used emulators constrained by observations. 26-29, 2022. The CMIP3 ensemble continues to astound! Casas, G.A.

2022 363
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The CO2 problem in six easy steps (2022 Update)

Real Climate

The fact that there is a natural greenhouse effect (that the atmosphere restricts the passage of infra-red (IR) radiation from the Earth’s surface to space) is easily deducible from; i) the mean temperature of the surface (around 15ºC) and, ii) knowing that the planet is normally close to radiative equilibrium. in IPCC TAR).

Radiation 352
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SCOTUS Rules in Favor of Sewage: You Can’t Make This Sh** Up

Union of Concerned Scientists

Whats the point of a beach adventure if you cant even go into the ocean? In 2022, ninety of Texas beaches tested positive for unsafe levels of fecal bacteria (poop!), How does raw sewage end up in our oceans and rivers? miles into the Pacific Ocean near Ocean Beach. San Francisco City and County v.

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WMO: Update on 2023/4 Anomalies

Real Climate

since the 1850-1900 baseline is very clearly associated with the increases in greenhouse gases, slightly (and decreasingly) modulated by the changes in atmospheric pollution. Dessler, "Evolution of the Climate Forcing During the Two Years After the Hunga TongaHunga Ha'apai Eruption", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres , vol.

2023 209
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Prepare for Another Dangerous Hurricane Season Predicted for 2022

Union of Concerned Scientists

Still, both the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast , released on May 24, and the Colorado State University (CSU) forecast , released on April 7, predict a season with above-normal activity— for the seventh consecutive year. This year broke the streak, and that is a good thing.

2022 363
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New study suggests the Atlantic overturning circulation AMOC “is on tipping course”

Real Climate

The paper results from a major computational effort, based on running a state-of-the-art climate model (the CESM model with horizontal resolution 1° for the ocean/sea ice and 2° for the atmosphere/land component) for 4,400 model years. Figure adapted from Caesar et al., Nature 2018.

Ocean 364
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How Major Carbon Producers Drive Sea Level Rise and Climate Injustice

Union of Concerned Scientists

Previous attribution research published by my Union of Concerned Scientists colleagues have allowed us to draw causal connections between sources of heat-trapping emissions and resulting impacts, like present day increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, air temperatures, sea levels , ocean acidification , and wildfire burned area.

Sea Level 224