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CMIP6: Not-so-sudden stratospheric cooling

Real Climate

As predicted in 1967 by Manabe and Wetherald , the stratosphere has been cooling. The dominant factors are changes in CO2 (a cooling), ozone depletion (a cooling), warming from big volcanoes, and oscillations related to the solar cycle. Thompson et al. We are using the NOAA-STAR version 3.0 of these products (Zou et al.,

Cooling 254
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A deep dive into the IPCC’s updated carbon budget numbers

Real Climate

In the 2018 IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C in 2018, but they represent a significant update since AR5 in 2013. Source: Data from IPCC (2014), Rogelj et al (2018), and IPCC (2021). Source: Data from IPCC (2014), Rogelj et al (2018), and IPCC (2021). 2018) A new scenario resource for integrated 1.5 °C

2018 329
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Antarctic extreme events: ‘All-time records are being shattered not from decades ago, but from the last few years and months’

Frontiers

For example, Antarctica acts to cool our planet by reflecting solar radiation back to space by virtue of the brightness of its snow surface. In the ocean, 19 marine heatwaves have been recorded between 2002 and 2018. In the Arctic this has led to regional warming four times faster than the global average.

Ocean 98
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A Nobel pursuit

Real Climate

Fortunately, Manabe recently wrote a retrospective on his early work in response to receiving the Crafoord prize in 2018. 2018 ), but I think it’s fair to say that few modelers think it’s a useful tool anymore. In his 2018 retrospective, Manabe doesn’t discuss the issue at all. 9335-9350, 2018.

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Poor Swelter as Urban Areas of U.S. Southwest Get Hotter

Science & Climate

This study provides the most detailed mapping yet of how summer temperatures in 20 urban centers in California, Nevada, Utah, Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico and Texas affected different neighborhoods between 2018 and 2020. The researchers found even greater heat disparities in California than in other states.

2018 83
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Getting physical with the climate crisis

Physics World

Extreme heat is not just an abstract notion: if we can’t cool our bodies enough, we’re in danger of neurological failure, organ failure and even death, with the risks highest for children and the elderly. On balance, clouds nearer the stratosphere warm us, whereas low-lying clouds tend to cool us because their greenhouse effect is smaller.

Cooling 133
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Back in Black: Creating positive changes by focusing on a short-lived pollutant

HumanNature

This balance describes how much energy is being reflected back into space versus how much is being absorbed by our atmosphere; a positive change in the balance indicates that we’re taking more energy in (net warming) and a negative balance indicates that we’re reflecting more energy out (net cooling). References Arctic Council. Black Carbon.”