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CMIP6: Not-so-sudden stratospheric cooling

Real Climate

As predicted in 1967 by Manabe and Wetherald , the stratosphere has been cooling. The dominant factors are changes in CO2 (a cooling), ozone depletion (a cooling), warming from big volcanoes, and oscillations related to the solar cycle. Thompson et al. We are using the NOAA-STAR version 3.0 of these products (Zou et al.,

Cooling 256
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Back in Black: Creating positive changes by focusing on a short-lived pollutant

HumanNature

This balance describes how much energy is being reflected back into space versus how much is being absorbed by our atmosphere; a positive change in the balance indicates that we’re taking more energy in (net warming) and a negative balance indicates that we’re reflecting more energy out (net cooling). References Arctic Council. June 25, 2020.