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Annual GMSAT predictions and ENSO

Real Climate

For the last few years ( since at least 2016 ), I’ve shared predictions for the next annual global mean surface air temperature (GMSAT) anomaly based on the long term trend and the state of ENSO at the start of the year. 2017 1.06 ± 0.13 that started with La Niña. 2018 1.05 ± 0.14 2019 1.18 ± 0.15 2020 1.21 ± 0.14 2021 1.16 ± 0.14

2016 290
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Wind Industry Activity Strongly Correlated With Whale Deaths, New Study Finds

Environmental Progress

LISA LINOWES and ERIC TURNER on behalf of the SAVE RIGHT WHALES COALITION Since 2016, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has declared three Unusual Mortality Events (UME) involving large whale species in the Atlantic Ocean. The UMEs for the humpback and minke whales include deaths in 2016 and 2017, respectively.

2015 144
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Great Barrier Reef Is Hit by Another Mass Bleaching Event

Yale E360

Mass beachings have grown more frequent with rising temperatures, afflicting the reef in 1998, 2002, 2016, 2017, 2020, and again this year. The Great Barrier Reef is undergoing its sixth mass bleaching event, as unusually warm waters stress corals, authorities say. Read more on E360 ?.

2002 151
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DEP Reports Shale Gas Operations Sent Over 138,000 Cubic Feet Of Radioactive TENORM Waste To Low-Level Radioactive Waste Facilities For Disposal In 2022 - Over 911,000 Cubic Feet Since 2017

PA Environment Daily

From 2017 to 2022, shale gas operators sent a total of 911,006 cubic feet of radioactive TENORM waste to low-level radioactive waste facilities for disposal. That amount is down from the 236,150 cubic feet of TENORM (Technically Enhanced Naturally Occurring Radioactive Material) sent in 2021.

Waste 105
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DEP Issued 754 Notices Of Violation For Defective Oil & Gas Well Casing, Cementing, The Fundamental Protection Needed To Prevent Gas Migration, Groundwater & Air Contamination, Explosions

PA Environment Daily

DEP issued 605 NOVs against unconventional shale gas operators and 149 to conventional oil and gas drillers for defective casing or cementing from 2016 through 2022, according to DEP’s Oil and Gas Compliance Database. Martino Unit 2H (2017) -- Chesapeake Appalachia LLC - Albany Twp. Read more here. Ridgebury Twp. Ridgebury Twp.

2016 104
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New Abandoned Wells: 60 Conventional Oil & Gas Companies Issued 10 NOVs Or More For Abandoning Wells Without Plugging Them In One Year

PA Environment Daily

Conventional oil and gas companies were issued over 4,270 notices of violation for abandoning oil and gas wells without plugging them in 2016 through 2022, according to DEP’s Oil and Gas Compliance Reporting system. 2016; 2017) IA Const Corp (2020) John H. & Eugene A.

2017 90
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2022 updates to the temperature records

Real Climate

El Niño events enhance global warming (as in 1998, 2010, 2016 etc.) For instance, the trends from 2016 to 2022 are -0.12±0.37ºC/dec This isn’t a universally accepted notion – Hawkins et al (2017) for instance, suggest we should use a baseline from the 18th Century – but it is one that easier to operationalise.

2022 290