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CMIP6: Not-so-sudden stratospheric cooling

Real Climate

As predicted in 1967 by Manabe and Wetherald , the stratosphere has been cooling. The dominant factors are changes in CO2 (a cooling), ozone depletion (a cooling), warming from big volcanoes, and oscillations related to the solar cycle. But why is the stratosphere increasingly chill? How well do the models do?

Cooling 254
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Climate Change and Me

Academy of Natural Sciences

The first climate change presentation I saw was back in the 1970s when I was working for the National Weather Service. Murray Mitchell, was the top climate scientist for NWS. While that got the bulk of the publicity, Dr. Mitchell assured us that the warming of the climate would be the biggest problem in the future.